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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Mon 13 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

39%

Real Sociedad

2.56

27%

Draw

3.74

34%

Villarreal

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

2.53

1.22

Villarreal xG

39%
27%
34%
Real SociedadDrawVillarreal

2.56

39%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

30%

Real Sociedad

3.37

27%

Villarreal

3.73

Win to Nil

12%

Real Sociedad

8.64

9%

Villarreal

10.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.5 12.7 7.7 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 6.9 8.4 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.0 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.316
λ Away (xG) 1.215
Total xG 2.531
League avg home goals 1.401
League avg away goals 1.176
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.851
Real Sociedad defence strength 0.797
Villarreal attack strength 1.298
Villarreal defence strength 1.104
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56