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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

13:00

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

70%

Real Sociedad

1.42

18%

Draw

5.42

11%

Valladolid

8.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

2.90

0.73

Valladolid xG

70%
18%
Real SociedadDrawValladolid

1.42

70%

Home win

5.42

18%

Draw

8.81

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

48%

Real Sociedad

2.08

12%

Valladolid

8.68

Win to Nil

34%

Real Sociedad

2.97

1%

Valladolid

76.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.0 8.8 3.2 0.8 0.1
2 12.9 9.5 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 9.3 6.8 2.5 0.6 0.1
4 5.0 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
5 2.2 1.6 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.161
λ Away (xG) 0.734
Total xG 2.895
League avg home goals 1.433
League avg away goals 1.159
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.872
Real Sociedad defence strength 0.872
Valladolid attack strength 0.726
Valladolid defence strength 1.730
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 28