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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Anoeta

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

44%

Real Sociedad

2.29

25%

Draw

3.93

31%

Valencia

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

2.72

1.22

Valencia xG

44%
25%
31%
Real SociedadDrawValencia

2.29

44%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

30%

Real Sociedad

3.38

22%

Valencia

4.48

Win to Nil

13%

Real Sociedad

7.72

7%

Valencia

14.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.0 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 9.9 12.1 7.3 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.0 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.7 4.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.499
λ Away (xG) 1.217
Total xG 2.716
League avg home goals 1.516
League avg away goals 1.149
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.181
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.210
Valencia attack strength 0.875
Valencia defence strength 0.838
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74