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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

13:00

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

67%

Real Sociedad

1.48

20%

Draw

5.06

13%

Oviedo

7.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.33

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

3.27

0.94

Oviedo xG

67%
20%
13%
Real SociedadDrawOviedo

1.48

67%

Home win

5.06

20%

Draw

7.79

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

39%

Real Sociedad

2.57

10%

Oviedo

10.23

Win to Nil

26%

Real Sociedad

3.81

1%

Oviedo

79.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 3.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.9 8.3 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
2 10.3 9.7 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 8.0 7.5 3.5 1.1 0.3
4 4.6 4.4 2.1 0.6 0.2
5 2.2 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.325
λ Away (xG) 0.943
Total xG 3.268
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.122
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.164
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.089
Oviedo attack strength 0.772
Oviedo defence strength 1.329
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 23