Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Wed 24 Sep 2025

20:30

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

42%

Real Sociedad

2.36

27%

Draw

3.64

30%

Mallorca

3.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

2.85

1.29

Mallorca xG

42%
27%
30%
Real SociedadDrawMallorca

2.36

42%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

3.31

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

28%

Real Sociedad

3.63

21%

Mallorca

4.75

Win to Nil

12%

Real Sociedad

8.56

6%

Mallorca

15.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 7.5 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.0 11.6 7.5 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.1 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.7 4.7 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.559
λ Away (xG) 1.288
Total xG 2.847
League avg home goals 1.439
League avg away goals 1.159
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.973
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.096
Mallorca attack strength 1.014
Mallorca defence strength 1.113
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43