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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

17:30

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

44%

Real Sociedad

2.29

27%

Draw

3.72

29%

Las Palmas

3.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

2.46

1.08

Las Palmas xG

44%
27%
29%
Real SociedadDrawLas Palmas

2.29

44%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

3.40

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

34%

Real Sociedad

2.95

25%

Las Palmas

3.98

Win to Nil

15%

Real Sociedad

6.74

7%

Las Palmas

13.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 9.2 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.8 12.7 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.1 8.8 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.381
λ Away (xG) 1.081
Total xG 2.462
League avg home goals 1.465
League avg away goals 1.155
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.907
Real Sociedad defence strength 0.850
Las Palmas attack strength 1.101
Las Palmas defence strength 1.040
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54