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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 12 Dec 2025

20:00

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

54%

Real Sociedad

1.86

23%

Draw

4.36

23%

Girona

4.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

2.94

1.12

Girona xG

54%
23%
23%
Real SociedadDrawGirona

1.86

54%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

4.31

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

33%

Real Sociedad

3.06

16%

Girona

6.18

Win to Nil

18%

Real Sociedad

5.67

4%

Girona

26.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.9 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 9.6 10.8 6.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.8 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.3 6.0 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.822
λ Away (xG) 1.117
Total xG 2.939
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.111
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.111
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.209
Girona attack strength 0.832
Girona defence strength 1.201
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53