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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

39%

Real Sociedad

2.58

32%

Draw

3.12

29%

Girona

3.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

1.86

0.84

Girona xG

39%
32%
29%
Real SociedadDrawGirona

2.58

39%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

3.41

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.74

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

43%

Real Sociedad

2.33

36%

Girona

2.77

Win to Nil

17%

Real Sociedad

6.02

11%

Girona

9.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.5 13.1 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 15.8 13.4 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 8.1 6.8 2.9 0.8 0.2
3 2.7 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.020
λ Away (xG) 0.845
Total xG 1.865
League avg home goals 1.384
League avg away goals 1.164
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.691
Real Sociedad defence strength 0.893
Girona attack strength 0.813
Girona defence strength 1.067
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74