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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 25 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

29%

Real Sociedad

3.44

30%

Draw

3.32

41%

Celta Vigo

2.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

2.33

1.29

Celta Vigo xG

29%
30%
41%
Real SociedadDrawCelta Vigo

3.44

29%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

2.45

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

28%

Real Sociedad

3.62

35%

Celta Vigo

2.85

Win to Nil

8%

Real Sociedad

12.45

14%

Celta Vigo

6.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 12.5 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
1 10.1 13.1 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 5.3 6.8 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.9 2.4 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.047
λ Away (xG) 1.287
Total xG 2.334
League avg home goals 1.449
League avg away goals 1.123
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.046
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.090
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.052
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.691
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58