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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Tue 13 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

38%

Real Sociedad

2.65

26%

Draw

3.79

36%

Celta Vigo

2.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

2.60

1.28

Celta Vigo xG

38%
26%
36%
Real SociedadDrawCelta Vigo

2.65

38%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

2.78

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

28%

Real Sociedad

3.60

27%

Celta Vigo

3.74

Win to Nil

10%

Real Sociedad

9.57

10%

Celta Vigo

10.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.5 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 9.8 12.5 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.5 8.3 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.318
λ Away (xG) 1.282
Total xG 2.600
League avg home goals 1.387
League avg away goals 1.186
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.770
Real Sociedad defence strength 0.908
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.190
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.234
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73