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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

30%

Real Sociedad

3.37

33%

Draw

3.05

38%

Athletic Club

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

16.1%

Away win

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

1.80

0.97

Athletic Club xG

30%
33%
38%
Real SociedadDrawAthletic Club

3.37

30%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.87

65%

BTTS No

1.54

Clean Sheet

38%

Real Sociedad

2.64

44%

Athletic Club

2.28

Win to Nil

11%

Real Sociedad

8.89

16%

Athletic Club

6.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.6 16.1 7.8 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 13.7 13.3 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 5.7 5.5 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.826
λ Away (xG) 0.970
Total xG 1.796
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.208
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.831
Real Sociedad defence strength 0.975
Athletic Club attack strength 0.823
Athletic Club defence strength 0.728
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71