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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

69%

Real Madrid

1.45

19%

Draw

5.22

12%

Valencia

8.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.12

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

2.87

0.75

Valencia xG

69%
19%
12%
Real MadridDrawValencia

1.45

69%

Home win

5.22

19%

Draw

8.38

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.15

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

47%

Real Madrid

2.12

12%

Valencia

8.32

Win to Nil

33%

Real Madrid

3.08

1%

Valencia

69.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.0 9.0 3.4 0.8 0.2
2 12.7 9.6 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 9.0 6.8 2.5 0.6 0.1
4 4.8 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.119
λ Away (xG) 0.751
Total xG 2.870
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.182
Real Madrid attack strength 1.271
Real Madrid defence strength 0.802
Valencia attack strength 0.793
Valencia defence strength 1.187
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48