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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Real Madrid Win
70%
1.43
16%
6.11
14%
7.40
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.2%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
8.5%
Home win
3 – 1
8.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.61
Real Madrid xG
Total xG
3.69
1.08
Valencia xG
Real MadridDrawValencia
1.43
70%
Home win
6.11
16%
Draw
7.40
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
71%
Over 2.5
1.41
29%
Under 2.5
3.45
50%
Over 3.5
2.00
50%
Under 3.5
2.00
31%
Over 4.5
3.23
69%
Under 4.5
1.45
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.64
39%
BTTS No
2.57
Clean Sheet
34%
2.94
7%
13.56
Win to Nil
24%
4.20
1%
100.36
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 6.5 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.5 | 9.2 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.4 | 8.0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.607
λ Away (xG)
1.080
Total xG
3.687
League avg home goals
1.400
League avg away goals
1.194
Real Madrid attack strength
1.484
Real Madrid defence strength
0.967
Valencia attack strength
0.935
Valencia defence strength
1.255
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 67