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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Real Madrid Win
65%
1.55
19%
5.31
17%
6.04
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
9.0%
Home win
1 – 1
8.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.30
Real Madrid xG
Total xG
3.38
1.08
Real Sociedad xG
Real MadridDrawReal Sociedad
1.55
65%
Home win
5.31
19%
Draw
6.04
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
66%
Over 2.5
1.52
34%
Under 2.5
2.94
44%
Over 3.5
2.27
56%
Under 3.5
1.79
25%
Over 4.5
4.00
75%
Under 4.5
1.33
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.68
41%
BTTS No
2.47
Clean Sheet
34%
2.95
10%
9.93
Win to Nil
22%
4.56
2%
60.03
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 7.8 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 9.7 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.9 | 7.4 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.296
λ Away (xG)
1.081
Total xG
3.377
League avg home goals
1.373
League avg away goals
1.184
Real Madrid attack strength
1.394
Real Madrid defence strength
1.028
Real Sociedad attack strength
0.888
Real Sociedad defence strength
1.200
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
75 / 75