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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

15:15

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

47%

Real Madrid

2.13

29%

Draw

3.47

24%

Real Betis

4.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

2.38

0.95

Real Betis xG

47%
29%
24%
Real MadridDrawReal Betis

2.13

47%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

4.13

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

39%

Real Madrid

2.60

24%

Real Betis

4.16

Win to Nil

18%

Real Madrid

5.53

6%

Real Betis

17.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 8.8 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.2 12.6 6.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.0 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.5 4.3 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.426
λ Away (xG) 0.954
Total xG 2.380
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.108
Real Madrid attack strength 1.221
Real Madrid defence strength 0.792
Real Betis attack strength 1.087
Real Betis defence strength 0.845
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 55