Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Tue 19 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

50%

Real Madrid

1.99

24%

Draw

4.13

25%

Osasuna

3.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

2.79

1.12

Osasuna xG

50%
24%
25%
Real MadridDrawOsasuna

1.99

50%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

3.92

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

33%

Real Madrid

3.07

19%

Osasuna

5.33

Win to Nil

16%

Real Madrid

6.10

5%

Osasuna

20.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 6.9 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.2 11.5 6.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.6 9.6 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.8 5.4 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.673
λ Away (xG) 1.121
Total xG 2.794
League avg home goals 1.360
League avg away goals 1.253
Real Madrid attack strength 1.196
Real Madrid defence strength 0.949
Osasuna attack strength 0.942
Osasuna defence strength 1.029
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38