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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Real Madrid Win
50%
2.01
27%
3.68
23%
4.35
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
0 – 0
10.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.41
Real Madrid xG
Total xG
2.28
0.86
Mallorca xG
Real MadridDrawMallorca
2.01
50%
Home win
3.68
27%
Draw
4.35
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.28
56%
BTTS No
1.78
Clean Sheet
42%
2.38
24%
4.11
Win to Nil
21%
4.77
6%
17.85
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.2 | 8.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.5 | 12.5 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.2 | 8.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.413
λ Away (xG)
0.865
Total xG
2.278
League avg home goals
1.357
League avg away goals
1.147
Real Madrid attack strength
1.120
Real Madrid defence strength
0.865
Mallorca attack strength
0.871
Mallorca defence strength
0.929
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
40 / 40