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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Wed 14 May 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

54%

Real Madrid

1.84

25%

Draw

4.04

21%

Mallorca

4.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

2.53

0.90

Mallorca xG

54%
25%
21%
Real MadridDrawMallorca

1.84

54%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

4.78

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

40%

Real Madrid

2.47

20%

Mallorca

5.08

Win to Nil

22%

Real Madrid

4.55

4%

Mallorca

24.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 7.2 3.3 1.0 0.2
1 13.0 11.7 5.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.5 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.7 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 2.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.625
λ Away (xG) 0.904
Total xG 2.529
League avg home goals 1.383
League avg away goals 1.160
Real Madrid attack strength 1.367
Real Madrid defence strength 1.039
Mallorca attack strength 0.751
Mallorca defence strength 0.859
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73