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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

13:00

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

61%

Real Madrid

1.63

24%

Draw

4.25

15%

Levante

6.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

2.93

0.92

Levante xG

61%
24%
15%
Real MadridDrawLevante

1.63

61%

Home win

4.25

24%

Draw

6.68

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

40%

Real Madrid

2.50

13%

Levante

7.50

Win to Nil

25%

Real Madrid

4.07

2%

Levante

50.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 4.9 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 10.7 9.8 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.9 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 7.3 6.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 3.7 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.015
λ Away (xG) 0.918
Total xG 2.933
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.117
Real Madrid attack strength 1.449
Real Madrid defence strength 0.814
Levante attack strength 1.009
Levante defence strength 0.993
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 18