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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

73%

Real Madrid

1.36

17%

Draw

5.99

10%

Leganes

10.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

3 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.34

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

3.07

0.73

Leganes xG

73%
17%
Real MadridDrawLeganes

1.36

73%

Home win

5.99

17%

Draw

10.12

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

48%

Real Madrid

2.07

10%

Leganes

10.35

Win to Nil

35%

Real Madrid

2.82

1%

Leganes

104.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.9 7.9 2.9 0.7 0.1
2 12.7 9.3 3.4 0.8 0.1
3 9.9 7.2 2.6 0.6 0.1
4 5.8 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.7 2.0 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.337
λ Away (xG) 0.728
Total xG 3.065
League avg home goals 1.426
League avg away goals 1.168
Real Madrid attack strength 1.446
Real Madrid defence strength 0.872
Leganes attack strength 0.715
Leganes defence strength 1.133
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 28