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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

58%

Real Madrid

1.72

21%

Draw

4.68

21%

Las Palmas

4.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

2 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

3.12

1.12

Las Palmas xG

58%
21%
21%
Real MadridDrawLas Palmas

1.72

58%

Home win

4.68

21%

Draw

4.84

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

33%

Real Madrid

3.05

13%

Las Palmas

7.43

Win to Nil

19%

Real Madrid

5.26

3%

Las Palmas

36.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 4.9 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 8.8 9.9 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.9 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.9 6.6 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.0 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.006
λ Away (xG) 1.116
Total xG 3.122
League avg home goals 1.381
League avg away goals 1.172
Real Madrid attack strength 1.450
Real Madrid defence strength 0.940
Las Palmas attack strength 1.012
Las Palmas defence strength 1.002
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57