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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 10 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

62%

Real Madrid

1.61

21%

Draw

4.83

17%

Girona

5.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

3.02

0.97

Girona xG

62%
21%
17%
Real MadridDrawGirona

1.61

62%

Home win

4.83

21%

Draw

5.80

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

38%

Real Madrid

2.65

13%

Girona

7.71

Win to Nil

23%

Real Madrid

4.27

2%

Girona

44.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 4.8 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 10.0 9.7 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.9 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.9 6.8 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.5 3.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.043
λ Away (xG) 0.975
Total xG 3.018
League avg home goals 1.560
League avg away goals 1.122
Real Madrid attack strength 1.403
Real Madrid defence strength 0.958
Girona attack strength 0.908
Girona defence strength 0.933
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68