🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Real Madrid Win
68%
1.48
18%
5.41
14%
7.22
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.7%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
1 – 0
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.26
Real Madrid xG
Total xG
3.17
0.92
Girona xG
Real MadridDrawGirona
1.48
68%
Home win
5.41
18%
Draw
7.22
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.86
46%
BTTS No
2.16
Clean Sheet
40%
2.50
10%
9.56
Win to Nil
27%
3.69
1%
69.05
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.7 | 9.8 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.0 | 7.4 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.258
λ Away (xG)
0.916
Total xG
3.174
League avg home goals
1.416
League avg away goals
1.158
Real Madrid attack strength
1.493
Real Madrid defence strength
0.903
Girona attack strength
0.876
Girona defence strength
1.068
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
62 / 62