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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Real Madrid Win
75%
1.34
16%
6.41
10%
10.35
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.1%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
9.5%
Home win
2 – 1
9.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.56
Real Madrid xG
Total xG
3.38
0.82
Elche xG
Real MadridDrawElche
1.34
75%
Home win
6.41
16%
Draw
10.35
10%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
66%
Over 2.5
1.52
34%
Under 2.5
2.94
44%
Over 3.5
2.27
56%
Under 3.5
1.79
25%
Over 4.5
4.00
75%
Under 4.5
1.33
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.93
48%
BTTS No
2.08
Clean Sheet
44%
2.28
8%
12.95
Win to Nil
33%
3.05
1%
134.05
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 8.7 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.1 | 9.2 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 9.5 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 6.1 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.561
λ Away (xG)
0.823
Total xG
3.384
League avg home goals
1.516
League avg away goals
1.115
Real Madrid attack strength
1.289
Real Madrid defence strength
0.850
Elche attack strength
0.868
Elche defence strength
1.310
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
65 / 27