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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 7 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

72%

Rayo Vallecano

1.39

16%

Draw

6.20

12%

Valladolid

8.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

3 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.56

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

3.51

0.95

Valladolid xG

72%
16%
12%
Rayo VallecanoDrawValladolid

1.39

72%

Home win

6.20

16%

Draw

8.41

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

39%

Rayo Vallecano

2.59

8%

Valladolid

12.88

Win to Nil

28%

Rayo Vallecano

3.60

1%

Valladolid

108.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 7.6 7.3 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
2 9.8 9.3 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 8.3 7.9 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 5.3 5.1 2.4 0.8 0.2
5 2.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.556
λ Away (xG) 0.953
Total xG 3.509
League avg home goals 1.416
League avg away goals 1.127
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 1.118
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 1.135
Valladolid attack strength 0.745
Valladolid defence strength 1.615
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 22