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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 26 Apr 2026

13:00

Venue

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

49%

Rayo Vallecano

2.05

28%

Draw

3.64

24%

Real Sociedad

4.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.26

0.88

Real Sociedad xG

49%
28%
24%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Sociedad

2.05

49%

Home win

3.64

28%

Draw

4.20

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

42%

Rayo Vallecano

2.40

25%

Real Sociedad

3.98

Win to Nil

20%

Rayo Vallecano

4.93

6%

Real Sociedad

16.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 9.2 4.0 1.2 0.3
1 14.5 12.7 5.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 8.7 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 4.6 4.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.381
λ Away (xG) 0.875
Total xG 2.256
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.122
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.838
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.747
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.045
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.065
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70