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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

50%

Rayo Vallecano

2.01

28%

Draw

3.59

22%

Real Sociedad

4.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.17

0.81

Real Sociedad xG

50%
28%
22%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Sociedad

2.01

50%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

4.49

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

45%

Rayo Vallecano

2.25

26%

Real Sociedad

3.90

Win to Nil

22%

Rayo Vallecano

4.50

6%

Real Sociedad

17.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 9.2 3.7 1.0 0.2
1 15.5 12.6 5.1 1.4 0.3
2 10.6 8.6 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 4.8 3.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.362
λ Away (xG) 0.809
Total xG 2.171
League avg home goals 1.417
League avg away goals 1.132
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.895
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 1.008
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.709
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.074
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65