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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

40%

Rayo Vallecano

2.50

26%

Draw

3.81

34%

Girona

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.61

1.24

Girona xG

40%
26%
34%
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona

2.50

40%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

29%

Rayo Vallecano

3.44

25%

Girona

3.94

Win to Nil

12%

Rayo Vallecano

8.60

9%

Girona

11.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.1 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.1 12.5 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.9 8.6 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.2 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.372
λ Away (xG) 1.236
Total xG 2.608
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.159
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 1.078
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 1.132
Girona attack strength 0.942
Girona defence strength 0.918
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58