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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Thu 23 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

51%

Rayo Vallecano

1.96

26%

Draw

3.90

23%

Espanyol

4.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.49

0.95

Espanyol xG

51%
26%
23%
Rayo VallecanoDrawEspanyol

1.96

51%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

4.28

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

39%

Rayo Vallecano

2.59

21%

Espanyol

4.66

Win to Nil

20%

Rayo Vallecano

5.09

5%

Espanyol

19.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 7.9 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.7 12.1 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.3 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.0 4.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.540
λ Away (xG) 0.953
Total xG 2.493
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.118
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.870
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.823
Espanyol attack strength 1.036
Espanyol defence strength 1.145
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69