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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 10 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

55%

Rayo Vallecano

1.82

21%

Draw

4.68

24%

Celta Vigo

4.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

2 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.03

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

3.30

1.27

Celta Vigo xG

55%
21%
24%
Rayo VallecanoDrawCelta Vigo

1.82

55%

Home win

4.68

21%

Draw

4.24

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

28%

Rayo Vallecano

3.56

13%

Celta Vigo

7.61

Win to Nil

15%

Rayo Vallecano

6.47

3%

Celta Vigo

32.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.7 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 7.5 9.5 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 9.7 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.1 6.5 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 2.6 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.030
λ Away (xG) 1.269
Total xG 3.299
League avg home goals 1.426
League avg away goals 1.187
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 1.071
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 1.163
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.919
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.330
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56