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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

20:00

Venue

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

33%

Rayo Vallecano

3.00

34%

Draw

2.94

33%

Alaves

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

0 – 1

14.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

1.79

0.89

Alaves xG

33%
34%
33%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlaves

3.00

33%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.83

65%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

41%

Rayo Vallecano

2.43

41%

Alaves

2.46

Win to Nil

14%

Rayo Vallecano

7.28

13%

Alaves

7.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.7 14.9 6.6 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 15.1 13.4 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 6.8 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
3 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.900
λ Away (xG) 0.887
Total xG 1.787
League avg home goals 1.369
League avg away goals 1.190
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.780
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.910
Alaves attack strength 0.819
Alaves defence strength 0.842
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47