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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

20%

Oviedo

4.89

27%

Draw

3.66

52%

Rayo Vallecano

1.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.77

Oviedo xG

Total xG

2.18

1.41

Rayo Vallecano xG

20%
27%
52%
OviedoDrawRayo Vallecano

4.89

20%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

1.92

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

24%

Oviedo

4.09

46%

Rayo Vallecano

2.16

Win to Nil

5%

Oviedo

19.99

24%

Rayo Vallecano

4.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 15.9 11.2 5.3 1.9 0.5
1 8.7 12.3 8.6 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 3.4 4.7 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2
3 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.770
λ Away (xG) 1.409
Total xG 2.179
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.119
Oviedo attack strength 0.534
Oviedo defence strength 1.259
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 1.000
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 1.026
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 12 / 50