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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

13:00

Venue

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

30%

Oviedo

3.29

37%

Draw

2.71

33%

Athletic Club

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

17.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.7%

Away win

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.85

Oviedo xG

Total xG

1.74

0.89

Athletic Club xG

30%
37%
33%
OviedoDrawAthletic Club

3.29

30%

Home win

2.71

37%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

52%

Over 1.5

1.92

48%

Under 1.5

2.08

25%

Over 2.5

4.00

75%

Under 2.5

1.33

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.83

65%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

41%

Oviedo

2.43

43%

Athletic Club

2.33

Win to Nil

12%

Oviedo

8.00

14%

Athletic Club

7.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.6 15.7 7.0 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.9 13.3 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 6.3 5.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
3 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.848
λ Away (xG) 0.889
Total xG 1.737
League avg home goals 1.500
League avg away goals 1.125
Oviedo attack strength 0.532
Oviedo defence strength 0.875
Athletic Club attack strength 0.903
Athletic Club defence strength 1.063
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 61