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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio El Sadar

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Osasuna Win

44%

Osasuna

2.28

28%

Draw

3.55

28%

Rayo Vallecano

3.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Osasuna xG

Total xG

2.26

0.97

Rayo Vallecano xG

44%
28%
28%
OsasunaDrawRayo Vallecano

2.28

44%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

3.57

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

38%

Osasuna

2.65

27%

Rayo Vallecano

3.64

Win to Nil

17%

Osasuna

6.04

8%

Rayo Vallecano

12.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 10.1 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.4 13.1 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.4 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.7 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.291
λ Away (xG) 0.973
Total xG 2.264
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.134
Osasuna attack strength 1.018
Osasuna defence strength 0.842
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 1.019
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.930
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41