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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio El Sadar

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Osasuna Win

39%

Osasuna

2.58

29%

Draw

3.43

32%

Rayo Vallecano

3.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Osasuna xG

Total xG

2.19

1.03

Rayo Vallecano xG

39%
29%
32%
OsasunaDrawRayo Vallecano

2.58

39%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

3.12

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

36%

Osasuna

2.80

31%

Rayo Vallecano

3.19

Win to Nil

14%

Osasuna

7.21

10%

Rayo Vallecano

9.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 11.5 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 13.0 13.4 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.6 7.8 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.9 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.161
λ Away (xG) 1.028
Total xG 2.189
League avg home goals 1.397
League avg away goals 1.171
Osasuna attack strength 1.058
Osasuna defence strength 1.124
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.782
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.785
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57