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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio El Sadar

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Osasuna Win

52%

Osasuna

1.92

23%

Draw

4.34

25%

Girona

4.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Osasuna xG

Total xG

3.00

1.18

Girona xG

52%
23%
25%
OsasunaDrawGirona

1.92

52%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

4.03

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

31%

Osasuna

3.27

16%

Girona

6.13

Win to Nil

16%

Osasuna

6.27

4%

Girona

24.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 5.9 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.0 10.7 6.3 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.7 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.0 5.9 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.814
λ Away (xG) 1.184
Total xG 2.998
League avg home goals 1.317
League avg away goals 1.247
Osasuna attack strength 1.146
Osasuna defence strength 1.163
Girona attack strength 0.817
Girona defence strength 1.202
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68