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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Thu 25 Sep 2025

18:30

Venue

Estadio El Sadar

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Osasuna Win

55%

Osasuna

1.82

27%

Draw

3.72

18%

Elche

5.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Osasuna xG

Total xG

2.40

0.81

Elche xG

55%
27%
18%
OsasunaDrawElche

1.82

55%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

5.48

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

44%

Osasuna

2.26

20%

Elche

4.90

Win to Nil

24%

Osasuna

4.11

4%

Elche

26.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 7.4 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 14.4 11.7 4.8 1.3 0.3
2 11.4 9.3 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 6.0 4.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 2.0 0.8 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.589
λ Away (xG) 0.814
Total xG 2.403
League avg home goals 1.446
League avg away goals 1.157
Osasuna attack strength 1.000
Osasuna defence strength 0.740
Elche attack strength 0.950
Elche defence strength 1.098
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 5