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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio El Sadar

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

30%

Osasuna

3.34

24%

Draw

4.08

46%

Barcelona

2.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Osasuna xG

Total xG

2.87

1.61

Barcelona xG

30%
24%
46%
OsasunaDrawBarcelona

3.34

30%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

2.20

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

20%

Osasuna

5.01

28%

Barcelona

3.53

Win to Nil

6%

Osasuna

16.70

13%

Barcelona

7.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 9.1 7.3 3.9 1.6 0.5
1 7.1 11.5 9.3 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 4.5 7.3 5.8 3.1 1.3 0.4
3 1.9 3.1 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.262
λ Away (xG) 1.611
Total xG 2.873
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.164
Osasuna attack strength 1.035
Osasuna defence strength 0.988
Barcelona attack strength 1.401
Barcelona defence strength 0.790
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71