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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Thu 15 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Estadio El Sadar

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

35%

Osasuna

2.86

28%

Draw

3.57

37%

Atletico Madrid

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Osasuna xG

Total xG

2.35

1.20

Atletico Madrid xG

35%
28%
37%
OsasunaDrawAtletico Madrid

2.86

35%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

30%

Osasuna

3.31

32%

Atletico Madrid

3.17

Win to Nil

11%

Osasuna

9.48

12%

Atletico Madrid

8.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 11.4 6.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.0 13.2 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.3 7.6 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.4 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.155
λ Away (xG) 1.198
Total xG 2.353
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.160
Osasuna attack strength 1.069
Osasuna defence strength 1.078
Atletico Madrid attack strength 0.958
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.779
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73