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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

15:15

Venue

Estadio El Sadar

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Osasuna Win

54%

Osasuna

1.85

26%

Draw

3.86

20%

Athletic Club

4.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Osasuna xG

Total xG

2.56

0.91

Athletic Club xG

54%
26%
20%
OsasunaDrawAthletic Club

1.85

54%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

4.99

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

40%

Osasuna

2.48

19%

Athletic Club

5.20

Win to Nil

22%

Osasuna

4.59

4%

Athletic Club

25.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 7.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 12.8 11.6 5.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.6 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.8 5.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.649
λ Away (xG) 0.910
Total xG 2.559
League avg home goals 1.417
League avg away goals 1.071
Osasuna attack strength 1.153
Osasuna defence strength 1.038
Athletic Club attack strength 0.819
Athletic Club defence strength 1.009
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 56