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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

17:30

Venue

Estadio El Sadar

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Osasuna Win

38%

Osasuna

2.63

26%

Draw

3.82

36%

Athletic Club

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Osasuna xG

Total xG

2.63

1.29

Athletic Club xG

38%
26%
36%
OsasunaDrawAthletic Club

2.63

38%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

27%

Osasuna

3.64

26%

Athletic Club

3.82

Win to Nil

10%

Osasuna

9.55

9%

Athletic Club

10.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 9.3 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 9.6 12.5 8.0 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.5 8.4 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.9 3.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.341
λ Away (xG) 1.291
Total xG 2.632
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.137
Osasuna attack strength 1.081
Osasuna defence strength 1.128
Athletic Club attack strength 1.007
Athletic Club defence strength 0.874
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 56