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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio El Sadar

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Osasuna Win

48%

Osasuna

2.08

28%

Draw

3.59

24%

Alaves

4.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Osasuna xG

Total xG

2.35

0.93

Alaves xG

48%
28%
24%
OsasunaDrawAlaves

2.08

48%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

4.18

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

40%

Osasuna

2.52

24%

Alaves

4.17

Win to Nil

19%

Osasuna

5.24

6%

Alaves

17.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 8.8 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.6 12.6 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 9.0 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.6 4.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.428
λ Away (xG) 0.926
Total xG 2.354
League avg home goals 1.369
League avg away goals 1.075
Osasuna attack strength 1.087
Osasuna defence strength 1.122
Alaves attack strength 0.768
Alaves defence strength 0.959
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54