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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

15:15

Venue

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

28%

Mallorca

3.52

25%

Draw

4.02

47%

Real Madrid

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Mallorca xG

Total xG

2.76

1.58

Real Madrid xG

28%
25%
47%
MallorcaDrawReal Madrid

3.52

28%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

21%

Mallorca

4.87

31%

Real Madrid

3.25

Win to Nil

6%

Mallorca

17.17

14%

Real Madrid

6.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 10.0 7.9 4.2 1.7 0.5
1 7.4 11.8 9.3 4.9 2.0 0.6
2 4.4 7.0 5.5 2.9 1.2 0.4
3 1.7 2.7 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.180
λ Away (xG) 1.584
Total xG 2.764
League avg home goals 1.560
League avg away goals 1.135
Mallorca attack strength 1.002
Mallorca defence strength 1.089
Real Madrid attack strength 1.282
Real Madrid defence strength 0.755
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67