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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mallorca Win

49%

Mallorca

2.04

27%

Draw

3.70

24%

Girona

4.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Mallorca xG

Total xG

2.65

1.05

Girona xG

49%
27%
24%
MallorcaDrawGirona

2.04

49%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

4.18

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

35%

Mallorca

2.85

20%

Girona

4.94

Win to Nil

17%

Mallorca

5.81

5%

Girona

20.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 7.4 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.3 11.9 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.5 5.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.8 5.1 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.598
λ Away (xG) 1.049
Total xG 2.647
League avg home goals 1.414
League avg away goals 1.109
Mallorca attack strength 1.029
Mallorca defence strength 1.032
Girona attack strength 0.916
Girona defence strength 1.098
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55