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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

31%

Mallorca

3.26

25%

Draw

3.94

44%

Celta Vigo

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Mallorca xG

Total xG

2.72

1.50

Celta Vigo xG

31%
25%
44%
MallorcaDrawCelta Vigo

3.26

31%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

22%

Mallorca

4.50

30%

Celta Vigo

3.37

Win to Nil

7%

Mallorca

14.67

13%

Celta Vigo

7.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 9.9 7.5 3.7 1.4 0.4
1 8.0 12.0 9.1 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 4.9 7.3 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.0 3.0 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.216
λ Away (xG) 1.505
Total xG 2.721
League avg home goals 1.338
League avg away goals 1.206
Mallorca attack strength 0.854
Mallorca defence strength 1.148
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.086
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.064
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39