Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mallorca Win

47%

Mallorca

2.11

26%

Draw

3.90

27%

Celta Vigo

3.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Mallorca xG

Total xG

2.59

1.08

Celta Vigo xG

47%
26%
27%
MallorcaDrawCelta Vigo

2.11

47%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

3.72

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

34%

Mallorca

2.93

22%

Celta Vigo

4.56

Win to Nil

16%

Mallorca

6.18

6%

Celta Vigo

16.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 8.0 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.3 12.2 6.6 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 9.3 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.4 4.7 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.7 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.518
λ Away (xG) 1.076
Total xG 2.594
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.201
Mallorca attack strength 0.954
Mallorca defence strength 0.963
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.930
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.145
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67