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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Barcelona run riot with a 0-3 hammering of Mallorca.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Barcelona beat Mallorca 0-3 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Regular Season - 1, in the La Liga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Mallorca 1.12 xG and Barcelona 1.54 xG, a combined 2.66. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. Mallorca fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Barcelona outscored their 1.54 projection by 1.5. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Mallorca attack 0.94 / defence 1.00 against Barcelona attack 1.28 / defence 0.85, drawn from 38/38 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Mallorca 28% | Draw 25% | Barcelona 47%, with Barcelona to win its most likely call at 47%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Mallorca 40%, Barcelona 71%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Mallorca's trading profile (38 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Barcelona's trading profile (38 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Barcelona arrived the stronger side — 2.32 PPG against 1.26. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Mallorca (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.05 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.11 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Barcelona (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights