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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

18:30

Venue

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

28%

Mallorca

3.60

25%

Draw

3.94

47%

Barcelona

2.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Mallorca xG

Total xG

2.66

1.54

Barcelona xG

28%
25%
47%
MallorcaDrawBarcelona

3.60

28%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

2.13

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

21%

Mallorca

4.66

32%

Barcelona

3.08

Win to Nil

6%

Mallorca

16.79

15%

Barcelona

6.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 10.7 8.3 4.2 1.6 0.5
1 7.8 12.1 9.3 4.8 1.8 0.6
2 4.4 6.8 5.2 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.7 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.124
λ Away (xG) 1.539
Total xG 2.663
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.205
Mallorca attack strength 0.942
Mallorca defence strength 1.001
Barcelona attack strength 1.276
Barcelona defence strength 0.849
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38