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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

32%

Mallorca

3.12

29%

Draw

3.50

39%

Atletico Madrid

2.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Mallorca xG

Total xG

2.40

1.28

Atletico Madrid xG

32%
29%
39%
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid

3.12

32%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

2.54

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

28%

Mallorca

3.59

32%

Atletico Madrid

3.08

Win to Nil

9%

Mallorca

11.19

13%

Atletico Madrid

7.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 11.6 7.4 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 10.2 13.0 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 5.7 7.3 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.1 2.7 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.125
λ Away (xG) 1.277
Total xG 2.402
League avg home goals 1.461
League avg away goals 1.140
Mallorca attack strength 0.828
Mallorca defence strength 1.115
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.004
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.930
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42