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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Tue 23 Sep 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

22%

Levante

4.47

23%

Draw

4.26

54%

Real Madrid

1.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

0 – 1

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Levante xG

Total xG

3.21

1.99

Real Madrid xG

22%
23%
54%
LevanteDrawReal Madrid

4.47

22%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

1.85

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.62

Clean Sheet

14%

Levante

7.28

29%

Real Madrid

3.40

Win to Nil

3%

Levante

32.54

16%

Real Madrid

6.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 8.0 8.0 5.3 2.6 1.0
1 4.9 9.8 9.7 6.4 3.2 1.3
2 3.0 6.0 6.0 3.9 2.0 0.8
3 1.2 2.5 2.4 1.6 0.8 0.3
4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.224
λ Away (xG) 1.985
Total xG 3.209
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.125
Levante attack strength 1.043
Levante defence strength 1.343
Real Madrid attack strength 1.314
Real Madrid defence strength 0.810
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 43